Tag: Western Cape

As Gauteng Weathers Third Wave, Western Cape Readies its Defences

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While COVID infection rates in Gauteng remain high, Western Cape is now firmly in a third wave, with an average of 1969 new cases a day. The healthcare system there has been monitoring the situation and preparing for the expected surge in cases.

“We are in a steep third wave, driven by the Delta variant and urge everyone to adhere strictly to protective behaviours, as a key drive to contain it. We anticipate that the third wave could be as high as the second wave. We await revised modelling from the SACMC to re-calibrate our response,” said head of health Dr Keith Cloete. Data on cases, healthcare capacity and details of the Western Cape’s responses were made available on the SA Coronavirus Portal.

In the Western Cape, the reproductive number has been over one for the past two months and is currently sitting at approximately 1.2, meaning an acceleration of new cases. The test positivity rate is at about 32%.

The public and private sector are using around two-thirds of the oxygen production capacity of Afrox’s plant. The level 4 restrictions with their accompanying alcohol ban saw a significant drop in week-on-week trauma presentations (~25%) and weekend trauma burden (~33% drop). This comes even with the context typical end of month increase as well as expected remaining alcohol stock, demonstrating the ban’s effectiveness.

The modelling referred to by Dr Cloete currently shows a high of ~500 daily admissions by 17 July, however an updated model is awaited. Public sector COVID bed capacity is being increased by converting beds and opening field hospitals, with a planned capacity of 2300 beds.

About 48.5% and 10.4% of the Western Cape population aged 60+ and 50-59 respectively have been vaccinated so far. Meanwhile, in a media briefing on Friday, Acting Health Minister Mmamoloko Kubayi-Ngubane announced that COVID vaccine registration for South Africans between the ages of 35-49 will open on July 15, with vaccinations for this age group planned to commence on August 1.

Lockdowns Loom as COVID Spreads Again in SA Provinces

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The Western Cape provincial government has said it is actively preparing for a resurgence of COVID cases while three other provinces have now declared they are in a third wave.

The province’s premier Alan Winde said in a statement on Sunday that based on current trajectories, the province is likely to officially enter its third wave two to three weeks from now.

Gauteng premier David Makhura confirmed that his province officially entered into a third wave more than a week ago. This was followed by similar declarations in the Free State and the Eastern Cape.

“The Western Cape is currently facing a resurgence as it has seen increases in its case numbers every day, over the past 12 days. While this is not yet a third wave, it is the first sign that we are moving towards one,” Winde said.

“Our guiding principle remains that no person will be denied access to life-saving medical treatment. We must make sure we have enough beds, staff and oxygen to respond effectively in the month ahead.”

He added that in the meantime South Africans should continue to follow the level 1 lockdown restrictions, adhering to social distancing and avoid social gatherings to help flatten this curve. But health experts have warned that the rise in cases could require further lockdown restrictions.

Head of the Western Cape Health Department Dr Keith Cloete told EWN that it is a national competency to put lockdown restrictions in place, but they are highly likely to appear given that the number of cases is on the increase countrywide.

Health minister Dr Zweli Mkhize has likewise warned of likely additional restrictions in South Africa due to rising COVID numbers.

He said that the government has discussed the rising numbers. “At some point we are going to have to start looking at additional restrictions,” he said.

“We are going to be recommending that there should be more focus on the size of gatherings, and look at the focus on some of the measures that were actually released when we thought the situation was much more improved.”

He highlighted the importance of trying to maintain a balance to ensure that people continue to be able to work. “We do need to send a strong message still, that people can’t be complacent.”

As of 23 May, there were 2894 new cases in South Africa and the COVID test positive rate stood at 9.86%. Data collected up to 15 May showed the highest positive rate was in the Northern Cape (24.1%), Free State (17.5%) and North West (15.1%) provinces. The percentage testing positive was <10% in all other provinces. (Source: NICD PDF, note this is a 10 MB size)

Source: BusinessTech