Category: COVID

Is There a Wave of Teenage Lockdown Pregnancies in SA?

Image by Quicknews

An article in The Outlier examines whether the spike in teenage pregnancies in Gauteng could signal a tsunami of teenage pregnancies caused by the lockdown and increased sexual assaults.

In August the Gauteng MEC for health, Nomathemba Mokgethi, revealed that 23 226 teenage girls had fallen pregnant in the province between April 2020 and March 2021. This came in a written response to questions from the DA tabled in the Gauteng legislature. Alarmingly, 934 of them were between the ages of 10 and 14, where the age of consent is 16.

There were 20 250 babies born to teenage mothers aged 10 to 19, according to the Gauteng MEC in a response to a question in the Gauteng Legislature; 2976 pregnancies were terminated. From the start of the year to August, 118 babies were abandoned in public hospitals, some of them likely by teenage mothers.

A preliminary understanding of the impact of the pandemic on teen pregnancies can be seen through data from the annual District Health Barometer (DHB) report, which shows the number of deliveries recorded in public health facilities.

An increase in teenage births of 28% when comparing births to teenage mothers in Gauteng reported in the DBH for 2019/2020 with the Gauteng health department’s number, 
The Gauteng health department also provided a monthly breakdown of the teenage deliveries from April 2020 to March 2021. The months with the highest number of deliveries were May, June, July and August: most of these teenage mothers would have fallen pregnant before COVID hit South Africa.

In the early stages of the COVID pandemic, schools were closed on 18 March 2020, with the hard lockdown starting on 26 March, meaning that pregnancies from that time would be delivered around December 2020, which would likely not be reflected in the DBH for 2019/2020.

Catherine Mathews, director in the Health Systems Research Unit of the South African Medical Research Council (SAMRC) said it would take time to assess the full impact school closures had on teen pregnancies.  

“We do know that schools can be an important, safe, protective environment for girls, and when schools close, children are often left unsupervised and can be more at risk of sexual violence.”

Contraception has not been readily available to girls and women, with the District Health Barometer 2019/20 noting persistent stock-outs of contraception have been reported since 2018.

The SAMRC surveyed adolescent girls, aged 15 to 24, between 1 December 2020 and 28 February 2021, to find out how they were affected by the pandemic. The Outlier looked at the results for the 15 to 19 age group. Out of the 264 participants in this age group, 23.5% stated that they were unable to obtain contraceptives, while 18.8% reported challenges in accessing condoms due to the pandemic.

But, to connect the increase in teen pregnancies to the inaccessibility of condoms and contraception alone would be to assume that the 23 226 pregnancies were a product of consensual sex, when that may not always have been the case.

Mathews said: “Violence against women and girls in the country is so pervasive in South Africa and we can’t ignore its impact on teenage pregnancy.”

The MEC Mokgethi said, “Cases of statutory rape are reported by healthcare social workers at hospitals and clinics to the Department of Social Development and SAPS,” adding that no cases of statutory rape were collected by the health department.

Data for 2020/21 for the other eight provinces are not available, so it hasn’t been possible to see if this trend is reflected there,
However, the province with the highest percentage of teenagers of mothers giving birth is the Northern Cape at 18% in 2019/20. The Eastern Cape and KwaZulu-Natal follow with 16.7% and 16.4% respectively. Gauteng’s teenage birth rate was 7.5%, the lowest of the provinces.

According to World Bank data on births among women aged 15 to 19 years, South Africa’s 68 births per 1000 women was lower than other Sub-Saharan African countries, it remains higher than the world average of 42 births per 1000 women in that age group.

Source: The Outlier

Impact of Pandemic Delay to Cardiac Procedures

Photo by Piron Guillaume on Unsplash

A Canadian study found that after the onset of the COVID pandemic, there was a significant decline in referrals and procedures for common cardiac interventions. 

Patients awaiting coronary bypass surgery or stenting were at higher risk of dying while waiting for their procedure compared to before the pandemic, despite wait times not being longer. The study was published in the Canadian Journal of Cardiology.

“In the first wave of the COVID pandemic, we kept hearing stories from patients and other doctors that there were delays in care for patients with heart disease,” explained lead investigator Harindra C. Wijeysundera, MD, PhD, University of Toronto. “We decided to look into these claims using the Ontario database that keeps track of wait lists and wait times for individuals with heart disease who require a procedure or surgery.”

The researchers were able to link multiple population-based administrative data sources and clinical registries. The study looked at adult patients who were referred for four commonly performed cardiac procedures: percutaneous coronary intervention; isolated coronary bypass grafting; valve surgery; or transcatheter aortic valve implantation from January 1, 2014 to September 30, 2020, and the start of the pandemic was put at March 31 2020. Outcomes were defined as death while awaiting procedure and hospitalisation while waiting for procedure.

Of 584 341 patients identified, 37 718 were referred during the pandemic. As expected, a decline in referrals was observed at the outset of the pandemic, although those numbers steadily increased throughout the pandemic period, along with an initial decline in the number of procedures performed. Individuals waiting for coronary bypass surgery or stenting were at higher risk of dying while waiting for their procedure compared to before the pandemic. Mortality rates increased even though wait times did not during the pandemic, suggesting patients may have delayed in presenting to their doctors with symptoms.

“We found that the increase in wait list mortality was consistent across patients with stable coronary artery disease, acute coronary syndrome, or emergency referral,” said Dr Wijeysundera. “Coupled with reduced referrals, this raises concerns of a care deficit due to delays in diagnosis and wait list referral.”

A number of potential explanations were suggested by the researchers for the decline in referrals during the pandemic, from patient factors such as fear of contracting COVID in the hospital or concerns about missing work, to system factors including testing delays and pressures on hospital beds and staffing.

Source: EurekAlert!

More ACE2 Makes Pancreatic Cells a COVID Target

Source: CDC

Researchers have revealed insights into how SARS-CoV-2 attacks the insulin-producing cells of the pancreas.

There is mounting evidence of damage to the pancreas and resulting diabetes attributed to COVID, which is of great concern. The virus targets the angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) protein on the surface of those cells, and is the subject of a special presentation at this year’s Annual Meeting of the European Association for the Study of Diabetes, given by the University of Siena’s Professor Francesco Dotta. 

“The SARS-CoV-2 virus attacks specific host tissues because of the presence of viral receptors on the surface of the target cells. As such, virus binding to ACE2 protein is the key determinant for its entry, propagation and transmissibility,” explained Prof Dotta.

“Multiple studies have shown that older adults and those with chronic medical conditions like heart and lung disease and/or diabetes are at the highest risk for complications from SARS-CoV-2 infections. Moreover, impaired blood sugar control is associated with increased risk of severe COVID, suggesting a link between COVID infection and diabetes. Several reports indicate a wide, although variable, distribution of the ACE2 protein among different tissues.”

Prof Dotta and colleagues studied the ACE2 expression pattern in pancreatic tissue samples of non-diabetic multiorgan donors to better understand the molecular link between COVID and diabetes.

In the ‘normal’ pancreas, ACE2 is highly expressed in microvasculature and in ductal cells. “Importantly, we found that ACE2 was expressed in human pancreatic islets, where it is preferentially expressed in insulin producing beta-cells. We also demonstrated that ACE2 levels were increased under pro-inflammatory conditions, thus confirming the link between inflammation and ACE2 also in pancreatic islet beta cells.”

In order to isolate the mechanism involved in the upregulation of ACE2 induced by inflammation, ACE2 levels were measured in human pancreatic islets pre-treated with Jak1/2 and TYK2 inhibitors, which block inflammation in beta cells, and then exposed to pro-inflammatory conditions. 

Prof Dotta said: “We showed that these drugs prevent the ACE2 increase induced by inflammation in human pancreatic islets, demonstrating that SARS-CoV-2 receptor ACE2 is regulated through specific molecular pathways and that its increased expression can be prevented.

“We studied the mechanisms of SARS-CoV-2 virus entry into insulin producing beta cells and we discovered that these cells express the SARS-CoV-2 receptor ACE2.” Other authors have independently confirmed such data.

Of note, additional published data confirmed that SARS-CoV-2 can indeed infect pancreatic insulin-producing cells causing their dysfunction or death. Moreover, during inflammation, ACE2 expression increases several times above standard values.

Prof Dotta concluded: “This means that these insulin-producing beta cells could be even more susceptible to viral infection when inflamed. This finding is also important from a clinical standpoint, since keeping inflammatory status under control in patients with COVID may reduce the expression of ACE2 receptor in beta cells with beneficial effects on blood sugar and metabolic control of patients.”

Source: EurekAlert!

Two Ivermectin Deaths Reported in US State

Source: Unsplash

Two deaths in the US state of New Mexico have been linked to misuse of ivermectin, the anti-parasitic medicine that has repeatedly been used by people as an anti-COVID medication.

The patients were among 14 in the state who had been hospitalised after being poisoned by the use of ivermectin, which has been widely promoted.

Dr David Scrase, the acting head of the state health department, said the two patients who died (38 and 79 years old) had both contracted the coronavirus and attempted to treat it themselves with ivermectin, leading to kidney failure in one patient.

“It’s the wrong medicine for something really serious,” Dr Scrase said.

The American Association of Poison Control Centers reported 1440 cases of ivermectin poisoning up to 20 September, more than three times seen in the same period in 2019 and 2020. A majority of this year’s reports came over the past few months as people sought prescriptions after false claims about the drug’s effectiveness in COVID patients started to circulate on social media, podcasts and talk radio. Many other states are seeing increasing cases of ivermectin poisoning.

Dr Susan Smolinske, the director of the New Mexico Poison and Drug Information Center, said that about half of the reported cases of ivermectin poisoning this year were people who took the drug to prevent COVID.

While certain versions of ivermectin are prescribed to humans to treat head lice and other parasites, other more concentrated formulations are commonly used in the equine and livestock industries to combat worms and parasites.

Previously, Dr Smolinske said, many of the incidents in New Mexico involved children mistakenly taking chewable tablets intended for dogs, however the poison centres had recently seen more instances of people taking concentrated forms of the drug intended for large animals, which may contain other ingredients not intended for human use.

“Most of our cases are of the horse or dewormer or pour-on product, so they’re highly concentrated compared to those tablets for dogs,” said Dr Susan Smolinske, the director of the New Mexico Poison and Drug Information Center.

Dr Smolinske said misuse of the drug can cause drowsiness, dizziness, tremors or even a coma. “It gets into the brain, and if you take a high enough dose, it has difficulty getting out of the brain,” she said.

Source: New York Times

ECG Readings Can Predict Worsening and Mortality in COVID and Influenza

Photo by Towfiqu barbhuiya from Pexels

Specific and dynamic changes on electrocardiograms (ECGs) of hospitalised COVID patients with COVID or influenza can help predict a timeframe for worsening health and death, according to a new Mount Sinai study.

Published in the American Journal of Cardiology, the study shows that shrinking waveforms on these tests can be used to help better identify high-risk patients and provide them more aggressive monitoring and treatment.  

“Our study shows diminished waveforms on ECGs over the course of COVID illness can be an important tool for health care workers caring for these patients, allowing them to catch rapid clinical changes over their hospital stay and intervene more quickly. […] ECGs may be helpful for hospitals to use when caring for these patients before their condition gets dramatically worse,” said senior author Joshua Lampert, MD, Cardiac Electrophysiology fellow at The Mount Sinai Hospital. “This is particularly useful in overwhelmed systems, as there is no wait for blood work to return and this test can be performed by the majority of health care personnel. Additionally, the ECG can be done at the time of other bedside patient care, eliminating the potential exposure of another health care worker to COVID.”

Researchers did a retrospective analysis of ECGs on 140 hospitalised COVID patients across the Mount Sinai Health System in New York City, and compared them with 281 ECGs from patients with laboratory-confirmed influenza A or B admitted to The Mount Sinai Hospital.  
For each patient, the researchers compared three ECG time points: a baseline scan done within a year prior to COVID or influenza hospitalisation, a scan taken at hospital admission, and follow-up ECGs performed during hospitalisation.

They manually measured QRS waveform height on all electrocardiograms – changes in this electrical activity can indicate failing ventricles. The researchers analysed follow-up ECGs after hospital admission and analysed changes in the waveforms according to a set of criteria they designed  called LoQRS amplitude (LoQRS) to identify a reduced signal. LoQRS was defined by QRS amplitude of less than 5mm measured from the arms and legs or less than 10mm when measured on the chest wall as well as a relative reduction in waveform height in either location by at least 50%.

Fifty-two COVID patients in the study did not survive, and 74% of those had LoQRS. Their ECG QRS waveforms reduced approximately 5.3 days into their hospital admission and they died approximately two days after the first abnormal ECG was observed.

Out of the 281 influenza patients studied, LoQRS was identified in 11 percent of them. Seventeen influenza patients died, and 39% had LoQRS present. Influenza patients met LoQRS criteria a median of 55 days into their hospital admission, and the median time to death was six days from when LoQRS was identified. Overall, these results show influenza patients followed a less virulent course of illness when compared to COVID patients.

“When it comes to caring for COVID patients, our findings suggest it may be beneficial not only for health care providers to check an EKG when the patient first arrives at the hospital, but also follow-up ECGs during their hospital stay to assess for LoQRS, particularly if the patient has not made profound clinical progress. If LoQRS is present, the team may want to consider escalating medical therapy or transferring the patient to a highly monitored setting such as an intensive care unit (ICU) in anticipation of declining health,” added Dr Lampert.

Source: The Mount Sinai Hospital / Mount Sinai School of Medicine

Documents Reveal Funding Attempts for Pre-pandemic Coronavirus Research

COVID heat map. Photo by Giacomo Carra on Unsplash

A recent article by The Telegraph revealed documents on grant applications by US and Wuhan scientists to conduct coronavirus research in 2018. However, it is important to note that these grants were not funded, and are not direct evidence of a ‘lab leak’ or research-related origin for the coronavirus. 

The documents, obtained by a scientist-activist group calling itself DRASTIC and confirmed as authentic by a member of the Trump administration, detail grant requests for antigen-bearing nanoparticles and aerosols to be released into bat caves to immunise bat populations. Note that “coronavirus particles” as The Telegraph describes them would be immunising nanoparticles which could describe coronavirus vaccines. Another proposal involved adding “human-specific cleavage sites” to bat coronaviruses to facilitate entry into human cells. The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) however, refused to fund the work, saying it would have “put local communities at risk.”

What is perhaps more concerning were details of an effort for gain of function research in MERS-CoV, which has a 30% fatality rate, something which an anonymous World Health Organization COVID researcher suggests could have resulted in a pandemic that was “nearly apocalyptic.”

Scientists, however, urge continued impartiality and examining all possibilities, even controversial ones. In an article published on Friday, 24 September in The Lancet, authors point out that there is neither solid evidence for either a natural origin or a for a research origin. In the nineteen months since the beginning of the pandemic, no natural origin has been found despite extensive searching, and independent international researchers do not have access to the investigation sites in China, raw data or samples. However, it took several years for the natural origins of SARS-CoV-1 to be discovered.

They also point out that a research origin for the virus cannot be excluded. Optimisation of the receptor binding domain for human ACE2 could occur through selection or cell cultures, without requiring knowledge of it in advance. Although certain genetic engineering techniques leave signatures in the genome, so-called ‘seamless’ techniques exist. 

“On the basis of the current scientific literature, complemented by our own analyses of coronavirus genomes and proteins, we hold that there is currently no compelling evidence to choose between a natural origin (ie, a virus that has evolved and been transmitted to humans solely via contact with wild or farmed animals) and a research-related origin (which might have occurred at sampling sites, during transportation or within the laboratory, and might have involved natural, selected, or engineered viruses).”

Sources: The Telegraph (paywall), The Lancet

SA Daily COVID Vaccination Rate Plummets

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The daily COVID vaccination rate in South Africa plunged this week, prompting fears that the vaccination drive may be losing steam. This comes amid criticism around insufficient  information about vaccinations in more remote and impoverished communities.

Just 159 542 doses were administered on 20 September, the lowest weekday total since 13 August, when 147 307 jabs were given, according to government statistics.

That falls short of its target of 300 000 daily doses (which is yet to be obtained), and also the lowest since 18-to-35 year-olds became eligible for vaccines on 1 September.

As of Wednesday, 22 September South Africa has administered 16.56 million doses, but only 8.23 million of the country’s almost 40 million adults are fully vaccinated. Of those fully vaccinated, about 44% are the single-dose Johnson & Johnson vaccines.

To achieve 70% coverage of the adult population by December, a further 18 million adults will need to be vaccinated, noted health minister Dr Joe Phaahla.

In an address to the media on Friday, 17 September, Dr Phaahla said that the government is still focused on adult vaccinations, with the main priority being the 50 and older age group ahead of a possible year-end fourth wave. Dr Phaahla also noted the South African health regulator’s approval of Pfizer’s COVID vaccine for use for children 12 years and older, saying that the policy of vaccination of under 18s would be revisited based on the total number of adults vaccinated by the end of October.

“Even though we know the Pfizer vaccine has been approved [for children], we want to remain focused on the high-risk people as of now.

“If we can reach 70% of the 50+ age group when the next wave comes, our hospitals will not be as overwhelmed as they have been.”

Dr Phaahla added that the government is aware of pressure from schools for vaccinations of children. Other factors to be taken into account are the local government elections on 1 November — a possible super-spreader event — and a surplus vaccine supply to enable targeting under 18s.

“We think it will be very risky to be all over and start just vaccinating people everywhere. Let’s manage the schools,  and keep on pushing the elderly to get vaccinated.”

On Wednesday, 22 September, there were 2967 new COVID cases, with a case positivity rate of 7%. The total number of vaccinations on that day was slightly higher, but only stood at 187 003, short of the government’s goal of 300 000 per day. Of these, 110 847 were fully vaccinated, 45.3% from J&J doses.

Source: BusinessTech

Stockpiling Could Cause 241 Million Vaccine Doses to be Wasted

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Analytics company Airfinity estimates the G7 and EU will have an excess of 1 billion vaccine doses by the end of 2021, of which 10% are expected to expire. 

When factoring the time taken to distribute and administer the doses in Lower Income Countries (LICs) and Lower Middle Income Countries (LMICs), the proportion rises. Many of these countries will refuse vaccines that don’t have at least a two month shelf life. Taking into account this two month shelf, 241 million doses could be wasted by the end of 2021, amounting to a quarter of the G7 and EU surplus stock. 

The available vaccines in the G7 and EU, together with already purchased doses and COVAX deliveries, are sufficient for LICs and LMICs to vaccinate 70% of their populations by May 2022. Airfinity estimates that total global COVID cases are likely to exceed 400 million by mid-2022 and immediately redistributing vaccines could potentially avert nearly 1 million deaths from the virus in that time frame. 

“Currently doses tend to get shared in low volumes, at short notice, and with shorter than ideal expiry dates – making it a huge logistical lift to allocate and deliver these to countries able to absorb them,” says Aurélia Nguyen, managing director of the COVAX facility.

Vaccine manufacturers are now making 1.5bn doses every month.

“They’re producing a huge number of doses. It has scaled up immensely over the last three or four months,” Dr Matt Linley, lead researcher at Airfinity, told BBC News.

“I don’t think it was necessarily rich countries being greedy, it’s more that they didn’t know which vaccines would work,” says Dr Linley. “So they had to purchase several of them.”

Airfinity hopes to show governments that there are enough vaccines to fulfil their needs, and thanks to this secure supply they can donate without stockpiling.

“They don’t want to be caught off guard,” said Agathe Demarais. “It’s also about domestic political pressure because part of the electorate would probably be very unhappy to see vaccines being donated, if there is a feeling that they’re still needed at home.”

Co-founder and CEO of Airfinity, Rasmus Bech Hansen said: “The world has witnessed two extraordinary scientific achievements in the pandemic: The fast development of highly effective vaccines and the unprecedented scale up of production.For the world to get the full benefit of this, our data shows, we need a third equally unprecedented achievement: A large scale, rapid, globally coordinated, science driven vaccination campaign.” 

Source: Airfinity

Now Iodine is the In-thing for COVID

A dangerous new trend has emerged on social media, which involves a new COVID ‘cure’ by gargling the widely used antiseptic, povidone-iodine (PVP).

This trend has been sparked by an online video in Thai which has been widely shared on social media, featuring someone who claims to be a doctor. However this has been debunked. The trend is also cause for concern as the PVP may accidentally be swallowed. 

PVP, also sold under the name Betadine, is used for disinfection in surgical procedures and wound treatment. Gargling with 0.5% PVP has been shown to reduce the symptoms of sore throat associated with COVID, but has not been adequately shown to relieve any other symptoms.  
The immediate side effects of ingesting any PVP antiseptic include nausea, vomiting, general weakness, and diarrhoea. In severe cases, PVP ingestion can result in acute renal failure, cardiovascular collapse, liver function impairment, shortness of breath, low blood pressure, and even death.

In one study, researchers assessed the usage of 0.5% povidone-iodine mouthwash in patients as a way of reducing viral load during dental procedures, reducing possible exposure of healthcare workers. However, there is no evidence beyond in vitro testing that it actually reduces viral load in the throat. 

An official statement on the Betadine website reads as follows: “Betadine® Antiseptic First Aid products have not been approved to treat coronavirus. Products should only be used to help prevent infection in minor cuts, scrapes and burns. Betadine Antiseptic products have not been demonstrated to be effective for the treatment or prevention of COVID-19 or any other viruses.”

Source: Newsweek

COVID Variants Evolving to Improved Airborne Transmission

Source: Fusion Medical Animation on Unsplash

A new study found that people infected with SARS-CoV-2 shed significant numbers of virus particles in their breath – and those infected with the Alpha variant put 43 to 100 times more virus into the air than people infected with the original strains. 

The researchers also found that loose-fitting cloth and surgical masks reduced the amount of virus that gets into the air around infected people by about half. The study was published in Clinical Infectious Diseases.

“Our latest study provides further evidence of the importance of airborne transmission,” said Dr Don Milton, Professor, Environmental Health, University of Maryland School of Public Health. “We know that the Delta variant circulating now is even more contagious than the Alpha variant. Our research indicates that the variants just keep getting better at traveling through the air, so we must provide better ventilation and wear tight-fitting masks, in addition to vaccination, to help stop spread of the virus.”

The numbers of airborne virus particles coming from infections with the Alpha variant (the dominant strain circulating at the time this study was conducted) was much more (18 times more) than could be explained by the increased amounts of virus picked up in nasal swabs and saliva. 
Doctoral student Jianyu Lai, a lead author of the study, explained: “We already knew that virus in saliva and nasal swabs was increased in Alpha variant infections. Virus from the nose and mouth might be transmitted by sprays of large droplets up close to an infected person. But, our study shows that the virus in exhaled aerosols is increasing even more.” These major increases in airborne virus from Alpha infections occurred before the arrival of the Delta variant, suggesting that the virus is evolving to have improved airborne transmission.

To test the efficacy of masks in reducing transmission, the researchers measured how much SARS-CoV-2 is exhaled into the air with and without wearing a cloth or surgical mask. They found that face coverings significantly reduced virus-laden particles in the air around the person with COVID by about 50%.

Co-author Dr Jennifer German said, “The take-home messages from this paper are that the coronavirus can be in your exhaled breath, is getting better at being in your exhaled breath, and using a mask reduces the chance of you breathing it on others.” This means that a layered approach to control measures (including improved ventilation, increased filtration, UV air sanitation, and tight-fitting masks, in addition to vaccination) is critical to protect people in public-facing jobs and indoor spaces.

Source: University of Maryland