A new study led by researchers at Tulane University suggests that people with hypertension can significantly reduce, and possibly eliminate, their increased risk of premature death by controlling several key health risk factors at once.
The study, appearing in Precision Clinical Medicine, tracked more than 70 000 people with hypertension and over 224 000 without it, using data from the UK Biobank. Researchers followed participants for nearly 14 years to understand how managing these risk factors affected early mortality, defined as dying before age 80.
The eight health risk factors evaluated in the study include: blood pressure, body mass index, waist circumference, LDL “bad” cholesterol, blood sugar, kidney function, smoking status and physical activity. Notably, researchers found that hypertensive patients who had addressed at least four of these risk factors had no greater risk of an early death than those without hypertension.
“Our study shows that controlling blood pressure is not the only way to treat hypertensive patients, because high blood pressure can affect these other factors,” said corresponding author Dr Lu Qi, professor of epidemiology at Tulane University. “By addressing the individual risk factors, we can help prevent early death for those with hypertension.”
Hypertension, defined as a blood pressure of 130mmHg or higher, is the leading preventable risk factor for premature death worldwide.
The study found that addressing each additional risk factor was associated with a 13% lower risk of early death, 12% lower risk of early death due to cancer and 21% lower risk of death due to cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of premature death globally.
“Optimal risk control” – having 7 or more of the risk factors addressed – was linked to 40% less risk of early death, 39% less risk of early death due to cancer and 53% less risk of early death due to cardiovascular disease.
“To our knowledge, this is the first study to explore the association between controlling joint risk factors and premature mortality in patients with hypertension,” Qi said. “Importantly, we found that any hypertension-related excess risk of an early death could be entirely eliminated by addressing these risk factors.”
Only 7% of hypertensive participants in the study had seven or more risk factors under control, highlighting a major opportunity for prevention. Researchers say the findings underscore the importance of personalised, multifaceted care – not just prescribing medication for blood pressure, but addressing a broader range of health behaviours and conditions.
CAPE TOWN, 7 May 2025 | As South Africa pushes forward with new tobacco control legislation, leading global health experts are urging the nation not to overlook a crucial, evidence-based approach that is transforming public health outcomes in countries like Sweden and New Zealand.
At an event hosted today by Quit Like Sweden (QLS) in Cape Town, public health leaders, policymakers, and harm reduction advocates gathered to present a compelling alternative to traditional tobacco control: one that supports adult smokers in transitioning to safer alternatives.
Quit Like Sweden Founder and Director, Suely Castro, said: “For decades, we’ve relied on the same toolbox: bans, taxes, and restrictions. Yet in many countries, smoking rates have stalled. Sweden took a different path—one that empowered smokers with options. The result? A smoking rate of just 5.3% and the lowest tobacco-related death rate in Europe. South Africa deserves the same success story.”
Sweden’s tobacco harm reduction model prioritises the accessibility, acceptability, and affordability of safer alternatives, such as nicotine pouches, snus, and e-cigarettes, while maintaining traditional cessation and prevention efforts. This pragmatic balance has led Sweden to become the first country globally to almost achieve official smoke-free status.
Similarly, New Zealand has halved its smoking prevalence in just five years by supporting vaping and alternative nicotine products as a pathway out of smoking, particularly among vulnerable groups.
Leading international expert Clive Bates, said: “There are two main lessons to take from international experience. First, it is possible to radically reduce smoking and disease by driving out cigarettes with low-risk, smoke-free alternatives like snus, pouches, vapes or heated tobacco. Second, policies that try to stop these developments are prone to harmful unintended consequences such as more smoking, illicit trade or risky workarounds.”
QLS is calling on members of Parliament to ensure the Bill supports adult access to safer alternatives and includes a clear distinction between combustible tobacco and non-combustible nicotine products.
Suely Castro added: “We are not asking South Africa to blindly copy Sweden. But we are urging policymakers to seriously consider what’s working. Lives are on the line. And the evidence could not be clearer.”
About Quit Like Sweden
Quit Like Sweden is a non-profit platform dedicated to helping countries replicate Sweden’s success in reducing smoking-related harm through comprehensive, evidence-based strategies. Events have already taken place in Brazil, Malaysia, Poland, Japan, and Spain—now South Africa joins the growing movement.
Scientific evidence that supports vaping as an additional approach to tackle smoking-related morbidity and mortality is fast growing. The time is ripe for decisionmakers to embrace tobacco harm reduction and to steer away from precautionary principle-based tobacco control policies. This is according to Dr Riccardo Polosa, Founder of the Centre of Excellence for the Acceleration of Harm Reduction (CoEHAR) and Professor of Internal Medicine of the University of Catania, Italy.
Towards the end of 2022, the South African Tobacco Products and Electronic Delivery Systems Control Bill was officially introduced into parliament by the Minister of Health. Now, in the coming months, it will be discussed and possibly amended by a portfolio committee.
With this Bill lumping Electronic Nicotine Delivery Systems (ENDS, i.e. e-cigarettes and vapes) in the same category as smoking, Kurt Yeo, co-founder of consumer advocacy group Vaping Saved My Life (VSML), explains that it is essential for those involved in this process to consider the mounting scientific evidence demonstrating that vaping is far less harmful than tobacco smoking and is an effective way to support smokers seeking less risky alternatives and/or wanting to quit.
Dr Colin Mendelsohn is an Australian academic, researcher and clinician, who has helped smokers quit for over 30 years, says that vaping nicotine is a more effective quitting aid than nicotine replacement products such as patches and gums and is the most popular aid for quitting or reducing smoking globally. “It has the potential to save the lives of hundreds of thousands of South African smokers and prevent untold disease and suffering.”
He adds that vaping has been estimated to cause no more than 5% of the harm from smoking. “While the long-term effects have not yet been established, e-cigarettes are certain to be far less harmful than smoking. Vaping carries only a small fraction of the risk of tobacco smoking and is an effective quitting aid or long-term safer substitute for smoking. Vaping should be easily accessible to help adult smokers to quit deadly cigarettes.”
Dr Polosa highlights that decisionmakers and the public should also beware of many flawed articles scientific and fake news that are propagating ‘findings’ of potential harms, thus feeding the counter-narrative that e-cigarettes are ‘not as safe as promoted’. “Proliferation of poor-quality science and fake news need to be actively contrasted by good quality science and by correct information/education.”
The proof is in the numbers
“Countries which have supported vaping such as the United Kingdom and New Zealand have had accelerated declines in smoking rates,” explains Dr Mendelsohn. “For example, in New Zealand the national adult smoking rate fell by an unprecedented 33% in the two years between 2020 and 2022 after vaping was legalised.”
Illustrating this point further, Dr Polosa says that according to the same national surveys used for reporting smoking prevalence to the World Health Organization (WHO), these countries show faster declines in smoking prevalence compared with neighbouring countries with lower uptake of these alternatives. “In Sweden and Norway, eradication of smoking is now almost a reality with a daily smoking prevalence among Norwegian and Swedish youth close to zero (1% and 3%, respectively). Widespread diffusion of e-cigarettes in New Zealand and the United States is also contributing to the historical acceleration in the downward trend in daily prevalence of smoking among young people (1.3% and 1.9%, respectively).”
Regulation is essential, but the proposed Bill is deeply flawed
When it comes to regulation, Dr Polosa asserts that vaping and smoking are completely different animals. “Smoking kills. Vaping does not.”
Therefore, to regulate vaping in the same way as smoking does not make any sense, says Dr Polosa. “Doing so denies smokers access to much lower risk products. Rather, the South African government should table a risk-proportionate approach where the main regulatory levers are applied differentially.”
“This means that the most stringent and restrictive regulation would be applied to the most harmful products: tobacco cigarettes. Regulation of the smoke-free alternatives would focus on consumer protection (i.e., benefits to the consumer) and control of uptake by adolescents in a way that does not cause significant harm to adult smokers. This would meet the demands of people who cannot or do not wish to quit completely, but with much less cancer, cardiovascular and respiratory disease as a result,” Dr Polosa explains.
Dr Mendelsohn agrees and says that the preferred regulatory model is for nicotine liquids for vaping to be sold as adult consumer products from licensed premises, with strict age verification, like cigarettes and alcohol. “Regulation of e-cigarettes should be proportionate to risk and a light touch approach is more appropriate. A balanced regulatory model is needed which allows adult smokers easy access to regulated vaping products while restricting access to underage users. The current proposals will restrict adult smokers’ access to an effective quitting aid which can save lives and prevent smoking-related illness.”
“A precautionary approach to prevent the use of much less harmful smoke-free products is unjustified in the face of the massive burden of smoked tobacco products, which are widely available. This principle requires policymakers to compare the risks of introducing a product with the risks of delaying its introduction. In the case of vaping, the relatively small risks of harm will be outweighed by the far more substantial harms from delaying access to current smokers,” Dr Mendelsohn explains.
He points out that harsh restrictions on the sale and marketing of electronic cigarettes will have negative unintended consequences and will lead to black market sales of unregulated products to both adults and children. “The public health goal should be to encourage smokers who are unable to quit to switch to vaping, a far safer alternative.”
Yeo concludes by saying: “With the Bill aiming to reduce the incidence of tobacco-related illness, disability and death, regulations should be drawn up based on all available research and case studies to ensure South Africa’s smokers are truly helped.”
